Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena |…
As of 12 September 2026, "1560" leads at 32% implied probability (-2.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "1600", from 87% to 95%. The event has traded $213.5K in total ($935 in the last 24h) with $5.6K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.