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Techcloses in 2mo

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | M…

As of 27 October 2026, "1575" leads at 14% implied probability. The event has traded $150.1K in total ($5.1K in the last 24h) with $2.8K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$5.1K
Total volume
$150.1K
Liquidity
$2.8K
Markets
4
1 Jan 2027
Big TechAITechAI BenchmarksRecurring

Chart, demo trading & order book

Market1575
Yes14.5¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$65.0K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

4 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker