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Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

For the purposes of this market, a Category 4 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130-156 mph, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.g…

24h volume
$18
Total volume
$334.7K
Liquidity
$3.4K
Markets
1
31 Dec 2026
climateWeatherhurricaneearthquakeScienceClimate & ScienceNatural Disasters

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1 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker