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Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the …

As of 12 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 33% implied probability. The event has traded $54.3K in total ($78 in the last 24h) with $724 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.

24h volume
$78
Total volume
$54.3K
Liquidity
$724
Markets
1
31 Dec 2026
Israel x IranMiddle EastGeopoliticsIsraelIran

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Yes32.5¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$54.3K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker