Politicscloses in 5mo

Will any country leave NATO by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the …

24h volume

$1.9K

Total volume

$1.4M

Liquidity

$17.2K

Markets

31 Dec 2026

NATOGeopoliticsPoliticsWorld

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

3 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.