Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficien…
As of 16 October 2026, "Senate" leads at 50% implied probability (-4.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "President", from 46% to 31%. The event has traded $23.3K in total ($8.7K in the last 24h) with $48.2K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.