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Techcloses in 13mo

Will Apple release a new product line before 2028?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple launches a new product line between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is an Apple-branded hardware product that establishes a distinct product category based on its functionality and intended …

As of 15 November 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 75% implied probability. The event has traded $565 in total ($565 in the last 24h) with $6.3K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2028.

24h volume
$565
Total volume
$565
Liquidity
$6.3K
Markets
1
1 Jan 2028
TechAppleBig TechBusinessApple Event

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketWill Apple release a new product line before 2028?
Yes75.0¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$565
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Will Apple release a new product line before 2028? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker