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Techcloses in 3mo

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership oblig…

As of 12 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 36% implied probability. The event has traded $11.8K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $347 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$11.8K
Liquidity
$347
Markets
1
1 Jan 2027
TechBig TechAIOpenAIApple

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Yes35.5¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$11.8K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.