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Cryptocloses in 3mo

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?…

As of 21 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 41% implied probability (+5.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "No", from 65% to 60%. The event has traded $466.7K in total ($7.9K in the last 24h) with $15.9K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$7.9K
Total volume
$466.7K
Liquidity
$15.9K
Markets
1
1 Jan 2027
Crypto PricesPrice ComparisonCryptoBitcoin

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Yes40.5¢
24h Chg+5.0pp
Mkt Vol$466.7K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

1 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker