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Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-t…

24h volume
$120
Total volume
$194.3K
Liquidity
$13.5K
Markets
1
31 Dec 2026
quantumProtocol UpgradeCryptoBitcoinScience

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

1 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker