Politicscloses in 5mo
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited …
24h volume
$36.6K
Total volume
$39.2M
Liquidity
$608.8K
Markets
1
31 Dec 2026
PoliticsWorldGeopoliticsForeign PolicyChinaEarn 4%
Probability over time
Loading…
Holders and activity
Loading holders…
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.