Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the curre…
As of 12 September 2026, "June 30, 2027" leads at 14% implied probability (+1.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $10.8K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $23.7K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.