Will Claude go down on __ days in September?
Outcome: 5-7. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 1 Oct 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays…
This market settled on 1 October 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $35.6K across 5 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.