Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for any of the six remaining unsolved Millennium Prize Problems, or otherwise officially declares any of these problems solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the t…
As of 12 September 2026, "December 31, 2026" leads at 4% implied probability (-1.3pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "December 31, 2028", from 38% to 28%. The event has traded $332.8K in total ($19.2K in the last 24h) with $134.0K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2029.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.