Politicscloses in 5mo
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient t…
24h volume
$207
Total volume
$88.8K
Liquidity
$10.5K
Markets
2
31 Dec 2026
US ElectionPoliticsCalifornia
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
2 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.