Politicscloses in 5mo
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "disa…
24h volume
$40
Total volume
$2.1M
Liquidity
$11.2K
Markets
6
31 Dec 2026
GazaGeopoliticsPoliticsGlobalForeign PolicyIsrael
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
6 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.