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Politicscloses in 8mo

Will Ilhan Omar be deported by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntar…

As of 16 October 2026, "December 31, 2026" leads at 4% implied probability. The event has traded $7.5K in total ($3.7K in the last 24h) with $90.2K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.

24h volume
$3.7K
Total volume
$7.5K
Liquidity
$90.2K
Markets
2
1 Jul 2027
Politicsus houseIlhan Omardeportationus house of representatives

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31, 2026
Yes4.0¢
24h Chg+0.0pp
Mkt Vol$7.5K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.