polytracker
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Politicscloses in 12d

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets an Arab country through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Qualifying Arab countries are as follows: Algeria, Bahrain, Comoros, Djibouti, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan…

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$67
Markets
2
31 Aug 2026
IranQatarMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastSaudi ArabiaIran CeasefireMilitary ActionsMilitary Strikes

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.