Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
Outcome: August 31, September 30, September 15. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 31 Aug 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets an Arab country through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Qualifying Arab countries are as follows: Algeria, Bahrain, Comoros, Djibouti, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan…
This market settled on 31 August 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $44.2K across 4 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
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4 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.