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Politicscloses in 2d

Will Iran target Iraq by...?

Market resolved

Outcome: September 30, October 31. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.

Settled 8 Oct 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Iraq through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Ir…

This market settled on 8 October 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $211.6K across 3 Polymarket markets.

24h volume
$2
Total volume
$211.6K
Liquidity
$620.1K
Markets
3
31 Oct 2026
IranIraqMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastMilitary ActionsMilitary Strikes

Probability over time

Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

3 markets
No markets match.
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Will Iran target Iraq by...? — result: September 30, October 31 · Polytracker