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Politicscloses in 15d

Will Iran target Syria by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Syria through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Damascus time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed…

As of 16 October 2026, "October 31" leads at 3% implied probability. The event has traded $45.0K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $13.0K of liquidity across 4 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 October 2026.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$45.0K
Liquidity
$13.0K
Markets
4
31 Oct 2026
IranSyriaMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastMilitary ActionsMilitary Strikes

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketOctober 31
Yes2.6¢
24h Chg—
Mkt Vol$2.1K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

4 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.