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Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

Market resolved

Outcome: August 31, September 15, September 30. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.

Settled 3 Sept 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets the United Arab Emirates through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Gulf Standard Time (GST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strik…

This market settled on 3 September 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $105.9K across 3 Polymarket markets.

24h volume
$17.4K
Total volume
$105.9K
Liquidity
$34.6K
Markets
3
30 Sept 2026
IranMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastMilitary ActionsMilitary StrikesUnited Arab Emirates

Probability over time

Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

3 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.