Politicscloses in 2mo
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Ukraine through a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed…
24h volume
$103.3K
Total volume
$106.1K
Liquidity
$67.4K
Markets
2
30 Sept 2026
IranUkraineGeopoliticsMilitary Actions
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
2 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.