Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by…
Ledger is investigating reports of loss of funds from users who purchased hardware wallets through third-party reseller CryptoBillis. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ledger officially announces a plan to compensate, reimburse, or otherwise make whole any affected users for funds lost in this incident by the spec…
As of 16 October 2026, "October 16" leads at 4% implied probability (+1.0pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "October 31", from 5% to 9%. The event has traded $10.1K in total ($42 in the last 24h) with $2.6K of liquidity across 2 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 November 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
2 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.