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Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

Zohran Mamdani has proposed adding a flat 2% tax on New York City residents earning above $1,000,000 annually. You can read more about that here: https://drive.google.com/file/d/14-aM9DKG337SDMilmfQtLRR-pDwyWSTc/view This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur: 1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Ma…

As of 12 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 5% implied probability (+0.2pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $68.7K in total ($16 in the last 24h) with $10.4K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$16
Total volume
$68.7K
Liquidity
$10.4K
Markets
1
1 Jan 2027
TaxesFiscalMamdaniNew York CityNYC MayorPolitics

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketWill Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
Yes5.4¢
24h Chg+0.2pp
Mkt Vol$68.7K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.