Politicscloses in 5mo

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, N…

24h volume

$52

Total volume

$425.0K

Liquidity

$61.3K

Markets

31 Dec 2026

WorldNorth KoreaGeopoliticsSouth KoreaPolitics

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

1 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.