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Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by July 31?

Market resolved

Outcome: ↓$850B, ↑$875B. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.

Settled 1 Aug 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for tradi…

This market settled on 1 August 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $39.8K across 10 Polymarket markets.

24h volume
$2.8K
Total volume
$39.8K
Liquidity
$36.5K
Markets
10
1 Aug 2026
OpenAIFinancechatgptPrivatesOpenAI IPO

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

10 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.