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Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

The 2026 midterm elections for the US Senate is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Republicans hold fewer seats in the Senate for any state that Trump won in the 2024 US presidential election as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to …

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$6.7K
Liquidity
$9.9K
Markets
1
3 Nov 2026
PoliticsTrumpElections

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1 markets
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The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker