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Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A majority in the House of R…

As of 12 September 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 1% implied probability. The event has traded $22.6K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $8.6K of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 3 November 2026.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$22.6K
Liquidity
$8.6K
Markets
1
3 Nov 2026
PoliticsCongressrepublican partyhouse of representatives

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketWill Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
Yes1.2¢
24h Chg
Mkt Vol$22.6K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? — Polymarket implied odds · Polytracker