Politicscloses in 4mo

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia militarily captures the entirety of Donetsk Oblast by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Donetsk Oblast will be considered captured when the entirety of the below-specified municipalities is simultaneously shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps…

24h volume

$64

Total volume

$954.9K

Liquidity

$16.8K

Markets

1 Jan 2027

Ukraine MapGeopoliticsputinPoliticsRussiaMilitary Actions

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

3 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.