Politicscloses in 2mo

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Huliaipole, Zaporizhzhya Oblast, (47°39'45.5"N 36°15'13.1"E) by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Huliaipole will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcg…

24h volume

$10.9K

Total volume

$1.1M

Liquidity

$27.6K

Markets

30 Sept 2026

Ukraine MapGeopoliticsPolitics

Probability over time

Loading…

Holders and activity

Loading holders…

Markets and probabilities

6 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.