Politicscloses in 5mo
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.0728° N, 36.5235° E in Havrylivka by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f…
24h volume
$22
Total volume
$160.0K
Liquidity
$3.1K
Markets
7
31 Dec 2026
Ukraine MapGeopoliticsPolitics
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
7 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.