Politicscloses in 2mo

Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.612850° N, 36.062680° E in Huliaipilske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://stor…

24h volume

Total volume

$110.2K

Liquidity

$752

Markets

30 Sept 2026

Ukraine MapGeopolitics

Probability over time

Loading…

Holders and activity

Loading holders…

Markets and probabilities

4 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.