Politicscloses in 5mo

Will Russia capture Myropillia by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 51.026680° N, 35.262808° E in Myropillia, Sumy Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcg…

24h volume

$887

Total volume

$84.8K

Liquidity

$2.7K

Markets

31 Dec 2026

Ukraine MapGeopolitics

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

3 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.