Politicscloses in 5mo
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.810403° N, 37.851396° E in Rai-Oleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://stor…
24h volume
$561
Total volume
$136.0K
Liquidity
$9.2K
Markets
3
31 Dec 2026
GeopoliticsUkraine Map
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
3 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.