Politicscloses in 4mo
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.494433° N, 37.377320° E in Sofiivka, Donetsk Oblast, by February 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.…
24h volume
$1.5K
Total volume
$205.2K
Liquidity
$7.2K
Markets
7
1 Jan 2027
PoliticsUkraine MapGeopolitics
Probability over time
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Markets and probabilities
7 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.