Politicscloses in 4mo
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building at 48.538085° N, 37.688345° E in Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The building station will be considered captured if any part of the buildings grey area is shaded red on the ISW map (https:/…
24h volume
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$116
Markets
3
31 Dec 2026
GeopoliticsUkraine Map
Probability over time
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Markets and probabilities
3 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.