Politicscloses in 2mo
Will Russia capture Toretske by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.494901° N, 37.365342° E in Toretske, Donetsk Oblast, by February 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.…
24h volume
$2
Total volume
$136.7K
Liquidity
$668
Markets
6
30 Sept 2026
Ukraine MapGeopoliticsPolitics
Probability over time
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Holders and activity
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Markets and probabilities
6 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.