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Politicscloses in 1mo

Will Russia enter Matiasheve by...?

Market resolved

Outcome: August 31, October 31. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.

Settled 8 Aug 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Matiasheve, Donetsk Oblast, (48.408940° N, 37.067703° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified l…

This market settled on 8 August 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $34.0K across 2 Polymarket markets.

24h volume
$14.4K
Total volume
$34.0K
Liquidity
$47.2K
Markets
2
31 Oct 2026
GeopoliticsUkraine Map

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.