Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka again by...?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.578748° N, 37.616899° E) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under …
As of 17 October 2026, "October 31" leads at 26% implied probability (-11.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $24.9K in total ($1.3K in the last 24h) with $19.4K of liquidity across 3 markets. Trading is due to close on 31 December 2026.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
3 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.