Politicscloses in 5mo

Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.578748° N, 37.616899° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below …

24h volume

$707

Total volume

$23.5K

Liquidity

$51.0K

Markets

31 Dec 2026

GeopoliticsUkraine Map

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

2 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.