Politicscloses in 2mo

Will Russia enter Orikhiv by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Orikhiv by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of Orikhiv is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de64…

24h volume

$16

Total volume

$380.1K

Liquidity

$7.4K

Markets

30 Sept 2026

PoliticsUkraine MapGeopolitics

Probability over time

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Holders and activity

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Markets and probabilities

7 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.