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Politicscloses in 3mo

Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Pokrovskoe, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, (47.984559° N, 36.228316° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below spec…

As of 12 September 2026, "December 31" leads at 19% implied probability (-2.5pp over the last 24h). The event has traded $101.8K in total ($0 in the last 24h) with $2.6K of liquidity across 5 markets. Trading is due to close on 1 January 2027.

24h volume
$0
Total volume
$101.8K
Liquidity
$2.6K
Markets
5
1 Jan 2027
Ukraine MapGeopoliticsPolitics

Chart, demo trading & order book

MarketDecember 31
Yes19.0¢
24h Chg-2.5pp
Mkt Vol$19.4K
live
Order bookYes
Market tradeslive · 6s
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Markets and probabilities

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How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.