Will Russia enter Serhiivka by...?
Outcome: December 31. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 8 Sept 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Serhiivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.311123° N, 36.931008° E) between market creation and the specified date 2026 (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specifi…
This market settled on 8 September 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $155.5K across 5 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
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5 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.