Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
Outcome: September 13, September 11, September 14, September 8, September 18, September 15, September 20, September 25, September 19, September 3, September 26, September 27, September 28, September 29, September 4, September 10, September 9, September 21, September 16, September 30, September 24, September 23, September 17, September 22, September 2, September 1. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.
Settled 30 Sept 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv. An air strike …
This market settled on 30 September 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $118.9K across 30 Polymarket markets.
Probability over time
Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
30 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.