Cryptocloses in 5mo
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this m…
24h volume
$364
Total volume
$4.5M
Liquidity
$94.7K
Markets
1
1 Jan 2027
Crypto CultureCryptoBitcoinSatoshi
Probability over time
Loading…
Holders and activity
Loading holders…
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.