Politicscloses in 1mo
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Transit calls include co…
24h volume
$162
Total volume
$162
Liquidity
$91.4K
Markets
6
31 Aug 2026
OilIranTrumpHormuzGeopoliticsStrait of Hormuz
Probability over time
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Markets and probabilities
6 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.