Politicscloses in 2d
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Transit calls include cont…
24h volume
$40.8K
Total volume
$1.6M
Liquidity
$203.5K
Markets
7
31 Jul 2026
OilIranTrumpHormuzGeopoliticsStrait of Hormuz
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Markets and probabilities
7 marketsHow to read
The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.