Culturecloses in 1mo

Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Météo-France's official seasonal climate report, the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026," states that meteorological summer 2026 (1 June to 31 August 2026) is the warmest summer in France in the Météo-France record, which begins in 1900, as measured by the national average temperature …

24h volume

Total volume

Liquidity

$257

Markets

1 Oct 2026

FranceCultureScienceWeatherclimateglobal warming

Probability over time

Loading…

Holders and activity

Loading holders…

Markets and probabilities

1 markets

How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.