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Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?

Market resolved

Outcome: Yes. This is how the market settled on Polymarket.

Settled 9 Aug 2026

This market resolves "Yes" if the center of Super Typhoon Dolphin's circulation physically crosses the coastline of China on or before August 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) position advisories placing the storm over Chinese land (https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#conten…

This market settled on 9 August 2026. Over its lifetime it traded $220.2K across 1 Polymarket market.

24h volume
$34.4K
Total volume
$220.2K
Liquidity
$59.0K
Markets
1
16 Aug 2026
ChinaWeatherclimatehurricaneHurricanesTyphoon Dolphin

Probability over time

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Markets and probabilities

1 markets
How to read

The percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.