Will Swiss Parliament pass the UBS capital law by June 30, 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Swiss Federal Assembly adopts a federal act establishing the capital requirement described below in final votes in both the National Council and the Council of States between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The adopte…
As of 16 October 2026, the market prices "Yes" at 79% implied probability (+23.5pp over the last 24h). The biggest 24h move is "No", from 45% to 22%. The event has traded $1.9K in total ($195 in the last 24h) with $354 of liquidity across 1 market. Trading is due to close on 1 July 2027.
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Holders and activity
Markets and probabilities
1 marketsThe percentage is the implied probability of the outcome, between 0% and 100%. For mutually-exclusive markets the sum trends to 100% (no vig). The ▲/▼ arrow shows the change over the selected window (1h/24h/7d/30d) in percentage points (pp). Click a market to see its top holders (with average entry price and position change) and the latest trades.